Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.382208 0.421406 0.463411 0.511860 0.566302 0.625709 0.695599
2025-07-13 0.322205 0.377153 0.440279 0.518533 0.613445 0.725472 0.868651
2025-07-20 0.287648 0.350367 0.425859 0.524164 0.649887 0.806750 1.019584
2025-07-27 0.262784 0.330443 0.414997 0.529619 0.682773 0.882965 1.168770
2025-08-03 0.242212 0.312873 0.404039 0.531956 0.709492 0.951220 1.312299
2025-08-10 0.226345 0.299420 0.396413 0.536779 0.738419 1.023423 1.467387
2025-08-17 0.207433 0.279969 0.378585 0.525121 0.741961 1.058571 1.570298
2025-08-24 0.196793 0.270871 0.373982 0.531249 0.770941 1.132525 1.739232
2025-08-31 0.184731 0.258706 0.363845 0.527979 0.784857 1.183988 1.877017
2025-09-07 0.175557 0.249954 0.357824 0.530038 0.806588 1.248881 2.043247
2025-09-14 0.164847 0.238143 0.346306 0.522460 0.811919 1.287059 2.167022
2025-09-21 0.155817 0.228232 0.336906 0.517304 0.820385 1.330614 2.304403
2025-09-28 0.143587 0.212845 0.318306 0.496302 0.801212 1.326066 2.354855
2025-10-05 0.138545 0.208326 0.316452 0.502640 0.829175 1.406714 2.576543
2025-10-12 0.133734 0.203829 0.314256 0.508077 0.855763 1.487066 2.807403
2025-10-19 0.129266 0.199581 0.312127 0.513336 0.882264 1.569501 3.052825
2025-10-26 0.124556 0.194639 0.308493 0.515590 0.903247 1.643165 3.289191
2025-11-02 0.120630 0.190751 0.306344 0.520241 0.928957 1.728335 3.561788
2025-11-09 0.114189 0.182290 0.295881 0.509000 0.923090 1.749263 3.692353
2025-11-16 0.111100 0.179351 0.294776 0.514909 0.951198 1.842607 4.003460
2025-11-23 0.106740 0.173985 0.289088 0.511755 0.960808 1.897727 4.230693
2025-11-30 0.103467 0.170337 0.286223 0.513741 0.980948 1.977343 4.529592
2025-12-07 0.099001 0.164365 0.278840 0.506433 0.981090 2.012651 4.720596